Homeowner Equity Is Hitting a Record High

Homeowners are getting richer, thanks to rising home values. The amount of equity that homeowners can tap into is now at the highest level on record, according to Black Knight Financial Services, a mortgage and finance industry solution provider.
The amount a borrower can take out of a home—while still leaving 20 percent in it—increased by a collective $735 billion during 2017. That is the largest annual increase by dollar value on record, according to Black Knight. The collective amount of tappable equity now stands at $5.4 trillion, 10 percent more than the prerecession peak in 2005.
“There’s no question that a majority of homeowners have amassed considerable equity gains since the downturn,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of REALTORS®. “Home prices have grown a cumulative 48 percent since 2011 and are up 5.9 percent through the first two months of this year.”
Homeowners are being more conservative, and lenders are much stricter when it comes to tapping into home equity. Homeowners took out $262 billion in cash-out refinances or home equity lines of credit last year, which is less than 1.25 percent of all available equity and is at a four-year low.
“While rising rates tend to dampen utilization of equity in general, the market is poised for a strong shift toward HELOCs, as they allow borrowers to take advantage of growing equity while holding on to historically low first-lien interest rates,” says Ben Graboske, executive vice president of Black Knight Data & Analytics. “Over half of all tappable equity—approximately $2.8 trillion—is held by borrowers with credit scores of 760 or higher and first-lien interest rates below today’s prevailing rate, which creates a large pocket of low-risk HELOC candidates.”
The amount of homeowner equity varies depending on location. Thirty-nine percent of the nation’s total tappable equity is in California alone. Seattle and Las Vegas have also seen large increases in home equity, Black Knight notes.

Source: “Homeowners Are Sitting on $5.4 Trillion in Ready Cash, the Most Ever,” CNBC (April 2, 2018)

Daily Real Estate News | Tuesday, April 03, 2018

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Why Buyers May Lose If They Don’t Act Now

Rising mortgage rates could have a big impact on the direction your buyers choose when shopping for real estate, economists warn. “Every time the interest rates go up, you eliminate a group of people who can no longer afford to buy a house,” Don Frommeyer, a mortgage broker at Marine Bank in Indianapolis, told realtor.com®. “Some people may have to rent for a period of time until they make more money—or buy a smaller house.”
To avoid further complications in their plans, your buyers may want to speed up their home search this spring, as interest rates are forecasted to move higher in the coming months. Forty-four percent of home buyers say rate increases likely will force them to settle for a smaller, less expensive home that requires a longer commute to their jobs, according to a realtor.com® survey. First-time buyers may be most affected by rising costs, as increasing home prices and interest rates price some out of the market.
Mortgage rates are at their highest levels in more than four years. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.46 percent last week, according to Freddie Mac, and that’s largely expected to increase since the Federal Reserve said it is likely to raise its short-term interest rates this year. That could prompt mortgage rates to move higher at least three times this year, starting this month.
“For the bulk of buyers, it’s not going to kill their decision to purchase a home,” Rick Palacios Jr., director of research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting, told realtor.com®. “If anything, it will get them off the fence by creating a sense of urgency.” Higher rates are “a kick in the pants for you to start thinking seriously [about buying].”
Rate increases—even minor ones—can add up over time. Realtor.com® offers this example: On a $300,000 house with a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and 20 percent down payment, the difference between a 4 percent and 5 percent mortgage rate is $142 a month. Calculated over the life of the loan, that is more than an extra $51,000. “Buyers thought they could wait forever because rates were going to stay low forever,” says Palacios. “They’re starting to realize that if they’re going to buy, they should probably buy now.”
Home buyers who are concerned about rising rates may want to lock in with a lender, which guarantees the current rate for a set period of time. Still, don’t let your clients linger on making a decision. It typically costs several hundred dollars to lock in a rate.

Source: “Is It Last Call for Low Mortgage Rate? Why Home Buyers Should Act Now,” realtor.com® (March 7, 2018)

Daily Real Estate News | Monday, March 12, 2018

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Spring May Not Be Pretty for First-Time Buyers

A shortage of homes and surging prices are hitting first-time buyers particularly hard heading into the spring season. The share of first-time homeowners dropped to 29 percent of all existing-home sales in January, down from 33 percent a year ago, according to the latest housing report from the National Association of REALTORS®.
Read more: 2018 Home Sales Off to a Sluggish Start
“First-time buyers are typically people with a tighter budget,” says Joseph Kirchner, realtor.com®’s senior economist. “They’re looking for homes on the more affordable end of the market, but that is where the lack of homes is most severe. … There’s plenty of demand, but people just cannot find a home on the market that meets their needs and they can afford. It’s not a good start for the spring market. The shortage will continue.”
In January, there were 15.5 percent fewer existing homes selling for $250,000 or less compared to a year ago. On the other hand, the biggest gains in homes were from those selling for $500,000 or more, which saw a 25 percent uptick.
Existing-home prices were up in every major region of the U.S. The West had the most expensive homes at a median of $362,600 in January, an 8.8 percent increase from over a year ago. The Northeast’s median prices reached $269,100 in January, up 6.8 percent annually. The South’s median home price of $208,200 is up 4.3 percent from a year ago, while the Midwest’s $188,000 median price is up by 8.7 percent.
“It’s very clear that too many markets right now are becoming less affordable and desperately need more new listings to calm the speedy price growth,” Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said in a statement.

Source: “Lack of Homes on the Market Tames a Toll on First-Time Buyers,” realtor.com® (Feb. 21, 2018) and “Homeownership Is Increasingly for the Wealthy, According to the Latest Sales Data,” CNBC (Feb. 21, 2018)

Daily Real Estate News | Thursday, February 22, 2018

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Higher Rates Offset Loan Demand

Home buyers and homeowners may be getting spooked by higher mortgage rates. Mortgage applications for both home purchases and refinancings plummeted 6.6 percent last week on a seasonally adjusted basis compared to the previous week, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday.

Volume is now just 3.5 percent higher than a year ago, with annual increases continuing to shrink week to week.
Applications to refinance dropped 7 percent last week but are still 2.8 percent higher than a year ago. Applications to purchase a home dropped 6 percent last week and are 3 percent higher than a year ago.
Affordability is weakening as home prices continue to rise. Mortgage rates also are now more than half a percentage point higher than at the start of the year.
“The drumbeat continues,” says Mike Fratantoni, the MBA’s chief economist. “Inflation is increasing, as are deficits, and the economy and job market continue to look strong, and rates are higher as a result. This upward move in rates is coming right at the start of the spring buying season and is a headwind.”
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.64 percent last week, the highest level since January 2014, the MBA reports.
More borrowers are turning to adjustable-rate mortgages, which tend to have lower initial rates than the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. However, the lower rates from an ARM can be risky since the rates are locked in for a shorter term. ARM applications rose to 6.4 percent of total applications last week.

Source: “Weekly Mortgage Applications Tank Even More, as Rising Rates Make Homes Less Affordable,” CNBC (Feb. 21, 2018)

Daily Real Estate News | Wednesday, February 21, 2018

First-Time Buyers May Have it Easiest Here

First-time home buyers are entering the market under tight inventory conditions and rising home prices. But not all cities are posing a challenge for those looking to break in to homeownership.
A new study by LendingTree ranks the top cities for first-time home buyers in the nation’s 100 largest cities. They factored in average down payment amounts, the share of buyers using an FHA mortgage, the share of homes sold that the median income family can afford; and more.
First-time home buyers in Little Rock, Ark.; Birmingham, Ala.; and Grand Rapids, Mich., topped LendingTree’s list as best cities for first-time home buyers in 2018. Both Little Rock and Birmingham have low average down payments of just 12 percent or $24,896 and $27,000, respectively. Grand Rapids proved to be the best place to be an FHA borrower (59 percent).
On the other hand, LendingTree found in its analysis that Denver, New York, and San Francisco ranked as the most challenging cities for first-time buyers.
These 10 cities ranked at the top for first-time home buyers:
1. Little Rock, Ark.
2. Birmingham, Ala.
3. Grand Rapids, Mich.
4. Youngstown, Ohio
5. Winston, N.C.
6. Dayton, Ohio
7. Indianapolis
8. Scranton, Pa.
9. Pittsburgh
10. Cincinnati

View the full top 100 rankings and a breakdown of each data point analyzed for each city at LendingTree.
Source: LendingTree

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, February 16, 2018